Vaxart Inc Stock Performance

VXRT Stock  USD 0.80  0.05  6.67%   
Vaxart holds a performance score of 14 on a scale of zero to a hundred. The entity has a beta of 1.13, which indicates a somewhat significant risk relative to the market. Vaxart returns are very sensitive to returns on the market. As the market goes up or down, Vaxart is expected to follow. Use Vaxart Inc maximum drawdown, skewness, as well as the relationship between the Skewness and day typical price , to analyze future returns on Vaxart Inc.

Risk-Adjusted Performance

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Weak
 
Strong
Compared to the overall equity markets, risk-adjusted returns on investments in Vaxart Inc are ranked lower than 14 (%) of all global equities and portfolios over the last 90 days. In spite of comparatively unfluctuating basic indicators, Vaxart unveiled solid returns over the last few months and may actually be approaching a breakup point. ...more
Last Split Factor
1:11
Dividend Date
2018-02-14
Ex Dividend Date
2012-11-09
Last Split Date
2018-02-14
1
Disposition of 54153 shares by Steven Lo of Vaxart at 0.37 subject to Rule 16b-3
12/04/2025
2
Vaxart Stock Price Passes Below 200 Day Moving Average - Heres Why - MarketBeat
12/17/2025
3
Vaxart to Relocate Headquarters Amid Lease Termination - The Globe and Mail
12/30/2025
4
Vaxart to Participate in the Global BioInnovation Forum on January 13, 2026
01/08/2026
5
Vaxart Publishes Positive Data for its Oral Bivalent Norovirus Candidate in Lactating Women and Their Infants
01/15/2026
6
Acquisition by Wheadon David E. of 95400 shares of Vaxart at 0.7 subject to Rule 16b-3
01/23/2026
7
Does Vaxarts Early Norovirus Infant Data Hint At A Broader Oral Vaccine Platform Advantage
01/27/2026
8
Disposition of 9265 shares by Sean Tucker of Vaxart at 0.6085 subject to Rule 16b-3
02/02/2026
9
Acquisition by Sean Tucker of 90000 shares of Vaxart subject to Rule 16b-3
02/03/2026
10
Vaxart to Present at the Oppenheimer 36th Annual Healthcare Life Sciences Conference on February 25, 2026
02/18/2026
Begin Period Cash Flow34.8 M
Total Cashflows From Investing Activities-21.3 M

Vaxart Relative Risk vs. Return Landscape

If you would invest  38.00  in Vaxart Inc on December 1, 2025 and sell it today you would earn a total of  42.00  from holding Vaxart Inc or generate 110.53% return on investment over 90 days. Vaxart Inc is currently generating 1.5574% in daily expected returns and assumes 8.5025% risk (volatility on return distribution) over the 90 days horizon. In different words, 76% of stocks are less volatile than Vaxart, and 69% of all traded equity instruments are projected to make higher returns than the company over the 90 days investment horizon.
  Expected Return   
       Risk  
Given the investment horizon of 90 days Vaxart is expected to generate 11.3 times more return on investment than the market. However, the company is 11.3 times more volatile than its market benchmark. It trades about 0.18 of its potential returns per unit of risk. The Dow Jones Industrial is currently generating roughly 0.08 per unit of risk.

Vaxart Target Price Odds to finish over Current Price

The tendency of Vaxart Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move above the current price in 90 days
 0.80 90 days 0.80 
about 1.92
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Vaxart to move above the current price in 90 days from now is about 1.92 (This Vaxart Inc probability density function shows the probability of Vaxart Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Given the investment horizon of 90 days the stock has the beta coefficient of 1.13 . This entails Vaxart Inc market returns are related to returns on the market. As the market goes up or down, Vaxart is expected to follow. Moreover Vaxart Inc has an alpha of 1.4471, implying that it can generate a 1.45 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   Vaxart Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Vaxart

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Vaxart Inc. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
0.040.829.39
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
0.071.329.89
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
0.020.999.56
Details
2 Analysts
Consensus
LowTargetHigh
2.733.003.33
Details

Vaxart Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Vaxart is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Vaxart's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Vaxart Inc, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Vaxart within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
1.45
β
Beta against Dow Jones1.13
σ
Overall volatility
0.14
Ir
Information ratio 0.18

Vaxart Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Vaxart for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Vaxart Inc can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Vaxart Inc is way too risky over 90 days horizon
Vaxart Inc has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock
Vaxart Inc appears to be risky and price may revert if volatility continues
Vaxart Inc has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years
The company reported the previous year's revenue of 28.7 M. Net Loss for the year was (66.95 M) with loss before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of (30.88 M).
Vaxart Inc currently holds about 129.55 M in cash with (44.76 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 1.02, which can makes it an attractive takeover target, given it will continue generating positive cash flow.
Vaxart Inc has a poor financial position based on the latest SEC disclosures
Latest headline from news.google.com: Fortress Biotech The PRV Catalyst That Could Reprice This Microcap - Seeking Alpha

Vaxart Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Vaxart Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Vaxart's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Vaxart's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding487.3 M
Cash And Short Term Investments51.7 M

Vaxart Fundamentals Growth

Vaxart Stock prices reflect investors' perceptions of the future prospects and financial health of Vaxart, and Vaxart fundamentals are critical determinants of its market performance. Overall, investors pay close attention to revenue and earnings growth, profit margins, and debt levels. These fundamentals can have a significant impact on Vaxart Stock performance.

About Vaxart Performance

Assessing Vaxart's fundamental ratios provides investors with valuable insights into Vaxart's financial health and overall profitability. This information is crucial for making informed investment decisions. A high ROA would indicate that the Vaxart is effectively leveraging its assets and equity to generate significant profits, making it an appealing investment. Conversely, low Return on Assets could signal underlying management issues in assets and equity, indicating a necessity for operational refinements. Please also refer to our technical analysis and fundamental analysis pages.
Last ReportedProjected for Next Year
Days Of Inventory On Hand 100.19  53.42 
Return On Tangible Assets(0.49)(0.51)
Return On Capital Employed(1.01)(0.96)
Return On Assets(0.46)(0.44)
Return On Equity(1.31)(1.24)

Things to note about Vaxart Inc performance evaluation

Checking the ongoing alerts about Vaxart for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Stock alerts and notifications screener for Vaxart Inc help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Vaxart Inc is way too risky over 90 days horizon
Vaxart Inc has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock
Vaxart Inc appears to be risky and price may revert if volatility continues
Vaxart Inc has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years
The company reported the previous year's revenue of 28.7 M. Net Loss for the year was (66.95 M) with loss before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of (30.88 M).
Vaxart Inc currently holds about 129.55 M in cash with (44.76 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 1.02, which can makes it an attractive takeover target, given it will continue generating positive cash flow.
Vaxart Inc has a poor financial position based on the latest SEC disclosures
Latest headline from news.google.com: Fortress Biotech The PRV Catalyst That Could Reprice This Microcap - Seeking Alpha
Evaluating Vaxart's performance can involve analyzing a variety of financial metrics and factors. Some of the key considerations to evaluate Vaxart's stock performance include:
  • Analyzing Vaxart's financial statements, including its income statement, balance sheet, and cash flow statement, helps in understanding its overall financial health and growth potential.
  • Getting a closer look at valuation ratios like price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio, price-to-sales (P/S) ratio, and price-to-book (P/B) ratio help in understanding whether Vaxart's stock is overvalued or undervalued compared to its peers.
  • Examining Vaxart's industry or sector and how it is performing can give you an idea of its growth potential and how it is positioned relative to its competitors.
  • Evaluating Vaxart's management team can have a significant impact on its success or failure. Reviewing the track record and experience of Vaxart's management team can help you assess the Company's leadership.
  • Pay attention to analyst opinions and ratings of Vaxart's stock. These opinions can provide insight into Vaxart's potential for growth and whether the stock is currently undervalued or overvalued.
It's essential to remember that evaluating Vaxart's stock performance is not an exact science, and many factors can impact Vaxart's stock market price. Therefore, it's also important to diversify your portfolio and not rely solely on one company or stock for your investments.

Additional Tools for Vaxart Stock Analysis

When running Vaxart's price analysis, check to measure Vaxart's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Vaxart is operating at the current time. Most of Vaxart's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Vaxart's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Vaxart's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Vaxart to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.